Tourism Managment review Tomorrow's Tourist
Ian Yeoman has developed a strong reputation within tourism as
possibly our only specialised scenario planner...
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Chapter 1: Introduction: World Tourism and the Tourist in 2030
Chapter 4: What Will the Tourist Be Doing in 2030?
Chapter 6: The Health Tourist
– Searching for the
Fountain
of Youth in Incredible India
I was in the gent's toilet the other day and I saw an advert for a Knitting Club over the urinals. Is this something odd or a representation of a new trend? Why the gent's toilet? Looking for an explanation I searched through a range of data bases to find an answer. So, what is the answer I found?
According to Faith Popcorn, consumers are shutting the
door on the world and cocooning. For example, interest in interior design means a renewed interest in heritage
and tradition as an active reaction to uncertainty about the future.
This uncertainty is a representation of anxiety amongst consumers with high levels of debt, job insecurity
and increasing everyday pressures of consumers living a complicated life.
A shift in fashion is occurring. There is a renewed interest in vintage and authenticity rather than designer
labels. According to trend spotter, William Higham
Aristo Chic has replaced Boho Chic. Wool sales are on the increase in shops. Crafts and old fashioned skills
are in demand. The knitting club is the new book club.
Guerrilla knitting sessions are
happening on public transport and knit-ins
are being organised across the world. Books like Stitch'n' Bitch,
Son of Stitch n' Bitch
(allegedly for men) and the Happy Hooker
are iconic cultural master pieces which have changed the image of knitting.
Stitch n' Bitch clubs are where knitters and
crocheters get together on a regular basis to stitch and, well, you know. These clubs can be found all
over the world from
Waiotemarama Gorge
to Abu Dhabi.
Ethan Watters coined the term 'urban tribes' in the 1990's, where friends are your new family. The 1990's TV show 'Friends' is a representation of this, where friends get together to talk in the local coffee shop. These friends are highly educated, want to learn and acquire new skills. These people are also single, urban and like Bridgette Jones need a social network.
We are seeing an increased interest and participation in natural well being rather than going to the gym.
Pastimes like knitting and dancing are being reborn. From New York to Wellington there are umpteen dance
classes for Tango, Ceroc and Salsa. All single people looking for something to do in an urban world.
Today's consumer is more about inconscipicious consumption rather than flashy, in your face stuff.
To a certain extent, bungee jumping is going out of fashion as an unnecessary evil. Consumers are saying
(especially Americans); don't flaunt your wealth in front of me. For example in the 'meetings
industry', if your facility has the title 'resort' in it, it must be about fun and in
contradiction to pharmaceutical industry regulations on hospitality and entertainment.
We are getting back to basics. Marriage is back in vogue and divorce rates are in decline. Family
relationships and values are perceived by consumers the most important things in there lives.
The nuclear family is stretching out as debt levels amongst student's forces them to stay at
home and grand parents coming back into the family home as caregivers and being cared for.
It's something like out of the Walton's
(if you can remember the TV program).
We are doing more hobbies such as knitting because of a general increase in leisure time
amongst elderly baby boomers. Bridgette Jones is looking for a boyfriend or friend, hence why not join a
club or society. Today's consumers want new and shared experiences, hence the rise of the knitting club.
Grannies and knitting are in vogue, whether it is Granny Bags
or designer socks from netgranny.
Even your ipod can have a range of sock covers
You would think that teenagers were all alcoholics, having sex all the time, on
P
and have a disruptive influence in society. Especially if you listened to the media. In fact,
a trend is emerging in which some teenagers and those in there 20's seek a traditional moral framework.
In fact, teenagers are taking a more adult approach to life just like
Saffy in Absolutely Fabulous.
As a result, there is greater interest in the environment and being green. When I was at school,
the social-educational issues were racism and equality; today those issues are the environment and climate
change. So, a shift is occurring that is important for the future.
According to the social forecaster Richard Scase
single women in their thirties and forties have a well developed social network and confidence that men lack.
Men define themselves more by their work, and relax with too much unhealthy food and drink.
A recipe for isolation and loneliness. Single women by contrast, are more likely to see friends,
explore their spiritual side and relax with yoga. Yes, the knitting club will probably have more
female members but the club concept is stretching out to men to overcome this weak trend.
Many people read books on holiday, others pass the time away knitting. The internet is full of
holiday knitting patterns and ideas and there are even
knitting holiday blogs.
Whilst on holiday, advice about knitting is only a touch away (or should I say a stitch).
Easystitch
is one of the latest apps for your Iphone.
In the world of the Long Tail,
knitting holidays have come to fruition, why not take part in a knitting retreat with
Yard Barn Holidays
where ladies can relax and knit in a seaside town away from their busy lives. The website goes on to say:
...treat yourself to a week of pure indulgence. Share your knitting problems with other like minded souls.
Celebrate the item or garment that has given you the most pride to knit or crochet with an appreciative
audience.
For something more adventurous how about knitting, quilting or lace making holidays in
cultural France staying at the
Le Vieux Monastry. In New Zealand, I can envisage Tourism New Zealand chasing high yield tourists
knitting with Merino wool.
A totally 100% Pure Woolly Experience.
Today's society is changing. It's a world of micro trends and segmented markets like the knitting club. Anyway, the knitting club meets on a Monday night at the Southern Cross Bar, Wellington. If anyone is interested, see http://thecross.co.nz/knittingcircle for further details.
Dr Ian Yeoman
Victoria University of Wellington
The New Sexism
Empowerment and choice are the watchwords of feminism. But has society turned its back on these words?
Read more
Demography and Tourism: Edited by Ian Yeoman et al
Revenue Management: Edited by Ian Yeoman and Una McMahon-Beattie
Ian to be keynote speaker at the UNWTO conference on the future of
technology in South Korea on the 13th October.
Ian has been appointed to the editorial board of www.techcast.org, a technology forecasting think tank.
Ian is now working with Addison Schonland on a new travel crisis management website www.travelcrisis.com
Ian talks about the basics of scenario planning on YouTube
here.
Ian discusses the future of tourism in Australia on ABC's Radio Futuretense
here.
Previous News items can be found here.